Toronto, Ontario, Wednesday January 7th, 2026 - Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) Realtors® & Board staff released the monthly stats publication MarketWatch December, 2025 this morning. The report also included a few year-end stats, but... the ‘25 year-as-a-whole update from TRREB isn’t due for a few weeks yet. Sales were down from last December and - not surprisingly - inventory was up. More on that below.
With strong seasonality in the residential real estate market, figures herein are year-over-year [YoY] comparisons unless specifically noted otherwise.
Overall
Total MLS® sales across TRREB's market area were 3,697 homes, down 8.9%, at an average sell price of $1,006,735, down 5.1%. December & January tend to be a couple of the slowest months of the year for residential real estate activity, probably followed only by the Dog Days of summer, generally speaking.
Folks looking at selling, though, should not necessarily keep their homes off the market waiting for the more active periods: Hand in hand with lower sales volume is lower inventory, so people who are looking: a] Have less selection / fewer listings to choose from, and b] Are probably well-motivated buyers. The caveat there is that it really only applies to mainstream homes; in the case of “unique” homes & luxury properties you should wait for those more active "seasons", but…
November's adjusted sales were 4,997, averaging $1,039,626. Some "industry watchers" love talking about the big difference between November and December but... as noted above, that's the seasonality part. People are busy with other things, the holidays, and the weather often sucks. 🤷♂️ Yeah, it's gonna get worse, but… that changeover is - perhaps - the hardest part for a lot of peeps.
Taking a quick look at the year as a whole, TRREB Realtors® reported 62,433 MLS® sales through TRREB's system. While December's sales were down year-over-year 8.9% as noted above, the full-year change was -11.2% - pretty much in line with the big picture. The average selling price of those was $1,067,000, off 4.7% from 2024’s $1,120,241. Newly listed properties for the entire year totaled 186,753, up a little over 10% versus 2024.
Specific Numbers by Major Home Type
413 sales of Detached homes were reported in December via the MLS® system, up 10.4% - obviously bucking the theme of the rest of the report and the only statistic with a “+” sign on the price & volume front. The average price of those Detached sales was $1,498,079, down 4.5%.
In the balance of the market area - “The 905”, generally - 1,277 Detached homes sold, down 5.1%, at an average of $1,239,882, off an even 7%.
Condo Apartment sales have struggled fiercely of late and December didn’t bring much happy news for sellers there, either. 694 units sold in T.O., off 6%, averaging $663,227, off 7.2%. But... those figures look pretty good compared to "The 905" [area code]: 335 sales, down 20.4%, averaging $555,110, down 9.5%.
When a market shifts hard to the Buyer's Market side, it always comes down to the sellers that are most motivated. They’re the ones who usually set the new benchmark in the neighbourhood in terms of “sales comparables”. Drop the price until it sells because they want or need out. Either one. It's not just financial duress situations. Maybe they think it's going lower. Regardless, “If x sold for that, then y is worth this.” That’s how it works. But... some sellers will - at that point - dig in their heels on unrealistic pricing or even pull their homes off the market in hope of better times. As we saw in the 1990’s those “better times” might be a long way off. Also consider: most folks are selling then buying: If the two are in the same general area then - yeah - your property ain’t worth what it was in 2022… but... neither is the one you’ll be buying. It might be a better idea to just bite the bullet, price to sell, and get on with your shiny new life. I know - that’s a bit simplistic for some situations, but... it's very apt for most… tough pill to swallow, I get it. But...
Quotable from the report…
Jason Mercer, TRREB Chief Information Officer:
“Reaffirmed trade relationships and large-scale domestic economic development projects will be key for improved home sales moving forward. GTA households must be confident in their employment situation before committing to long-term monthly mortgage payments, even in this more affordable market.”
Daniel Steinfeld, [new] Board President:
“The GTA housing market became more affordable in 2025 as selling prices and mortgage rates trended lower. Improved affordability has set the market up for recovery. Once households are convinced that the economy and labour market are on a solid footing, sales will increase as pent-up demand is satisfied.”
John DiMichele, Board CEO:
“We urge governments at all levels to take action now to provide tax relief for consumers and help ease the rising cost of living. Families and individuals need financial breathing room so they can afford a home or apartment and meet their basic needs. Fair and responsible tax policies can put more money back into people’s pockets, restore consumer confidence, and rebuild trust in the economy. These actions are essential to support stable households and create an economy that works for everyone.”
In our opinion... Mr. Steinfeld is probably a little optimistic. But... - hey: He’s new!; Mr. Mercer is bang-on.; Mr. DiMichele - who often takes the political route - is also on point. We read [or heard?] something in the past few days that was a brow-raiser to say the least - and the gist here is 100% accurate though the verbiage may not be - and we don’t know the formula / context... used for their calculations & comparisons [& if anyone knows where the quote came from, please do drop a line and we’ll add the attribution!]:
“The only things ahead of housing in terms of taxation are booze and cigarettes.”
Whoa.
On the Inventory Front
“New Listings” were up just 1.8% to 5,299 [5,205 a year ago]... but... - once again - the proof is in the pudding: Everyone who’s paying any attention at all knows there’s a lot of inventory around right now - relatively or otherwise - and it needs to be pointed out that, while “Newly listed” is perhaps the most oft cited inventory figure, it includes homes that were “re-listed” - usually coincident with a “price adjustment” [“reduction”].
We like the “purer” stat - simply, “How many homes are for sale?” That’s the Total Active Listings [TAL] stat. No brainer. There are 17,005 homes for sale [as of month-end]. That’s up 17.5%. Compare that to the ⬆️Frankenumber. No comparison.
We’re also hearing “rumours” that new home builders who can’t unload homes they built on spec are now renting them out rather than taking a loss on actual sales. See “sellers digging in their heels” part above. Hopefully they're solvent enough to wait it out. The problem remains affordability and there ain’t a whole lot of room to move interest rates, actually. Sure - every bit helps… but…
The other obvious element of that equation is that trades get laid off. That can lead to a spiral; a snowball effect. Peeps unsure of income don’t buy houses. Or much else for that matter.
Anyway… TAL divided by the month’s sales volume gives us an idea of “Forward Inventory”: How long would it take to sell every home currently listed assuming a constant rate of sales? That works out to 5.6 months. Last month it was 4.9 months and 4.5 months a year ago. Those are all on the elevated side by historical standards. Expect it to climb as new listings come on the market in the weeks and months ahead… hope sales volume can keep up, but…
Our ol’ friends - Bungalows / Single Storey homes - with high demand & relatively low supply - continue to be a popular target for the buyers that are out there… especially those in the “mainstream” price ranges [e.g. Median price for an area plus or minus twenty or thirty percent i where the vast majority of activity is].
If you’re interested we have Bungalow-specific intel / stats here on the Resources->QuickStats page including:
👉Total number of Bungalows Sold on the month
👉Average, Median, Mode, Low & High:
👉Asking Price
👉Original Asking Price
👉Sale Price
👉% Listing-to-Selling Price Ratio
👉Property Tax Amounts
👉# of Bedrooms [Above grade level.]
👉# of Bathrooms / Washrooms [Total - all levels.]
👉# of Days on Market [DOM]
There’s also a map of Median Bungalow prices by Ontario Region [South-Central only at this point] and historical info linked beneath that map. Create an account [sorry - we have to do that to be able to offer that info - them's the rules] and you gain access to historical Bungalow sales info as well.
As always, thanks for bein’ here! Stay warm, and here’s to a healthy, happy and prosperous 2026 [clink!] 🥂🎉…
Andrew.
@JustBungalows @theBB.group
#JustBungalows #theBB.group
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